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Everything That Needs To Happen for the Giants to Make the Playoffs


New York Giants wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. (13) and quarterback Eli Manning (10) celebrate after connecting on a touchdown pass against the San Francisco 49ers during the second half of an NFL football game in Santa Clara, Calif., Monday, Nov. 12, 2018. (AP Photo/Ben Margot)

New York Giants wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. (13) and quarterback Eli Manning (10) celebrate after connecting on a touchdown pass against the San Francisco 49ers during the second half of an NFL football game in Santa Clara, Calif., Monday, Nov. 12, 2018. (AP Photo/Ben Margot)

After the Giants pulled off a come-from-behind win against the 49ers on Monday night, fans are all in on Odell Beckham’s claim the team will go 8-0 to finish 9-7. If the Giants want to make the playoffs, they’ll have to do just that.

Here’s a look at how the Giants can somehow find themselves in the postseason. Yes, I know this is ridiculous but it’s a ton of fun to cling on to the last string of hope.

Winning out (9-7) could get them the #4 seed (NFC East champions) or the #6 seed (second Wild Card, #6 seed).

An 8-8 record could still get them one of those two spots but my head hurts thinking about the cataclysmic events that would need to go down.

Here’s a look at which playoff seed the Giants could win based on their record.

NY Giants Remaining Games Playoff Probabilities

NY Giants Remaining Games Playoff Probabilities via PlayoffStatus.com

All that red means the Giants’ playoff destiny is pretty much out of their hands. They don’t really control anything. If they don’t win the division outright, we dive into brain-splattering tiebreakers.

The Giants are on life support after losing to the current NFC playoff front-runners (Saints, Redskins, and Panthers) with the another playoff probable (Bears) on the docket. Luckily, they don’t have to face the Rams. Add losses to playoff contenders like the Falcons, Cowboys, and Eagles and that’s six (6) in-conference losses. NOT GREAT!

There are 5 conference games left on the Giants schedule, 3 of which are in the division: Bucs, Eagles, Bears, Skins, Cowboys. Win out and that’s a 6-6 conference record.

PlayoffStatus says the Giants have the 7th easiest schedule in the NFC and the second easiest schedule in the NFC East. I’m not sure how they calculate strength of schedule but, JESUS, this lineup isn’t exactly a cakewalk:

  • Buccaneers (3‑6) Sun Nov 18, 1:00 pm
  • @ Eagles (4‑5) Sun Nov 25, 1:00 pm
  • Bears (6‑3) Sun Dec 2, 1:00 pm
  • @ Redskins (6‑3) Sun Dec 9, 1:00 pm
  • Titans (5‑4) Sun Dec 16, 1:00 pm
  • @ Colts (4‑5) Sun Dec 23, 1:00 pm
  • Cowboys (4‑5) Sun Dec 30, 1:00 pm

Conference wins: Currently 1, projected for 6.

Division wins: Currently 0, projected for 3.

I could very easily see us losing out. Our best chance for a win is this Sunday against the Bucs, a team that somehow put up 500 yards of offense and 3 points.

If there’s one game they could maybe afford to lose it’s the Titans or Colts. Since the Colts lost to the Eagles, we’d want to beat the Colts since the Titans beat the Cowboys and Eagles (and hopefully beat the ‘Skins).

Here are the current playoff probabilities in the NFC East.

NFC East Playoff Probabilities

NFC East Playoff Probabilities

…and here’s how I foresee the NFC East shaking out in the Giants’ favor…

GIANTS GO 9-7, WIN DIVISION

Football Nfl GIF by Washington Redskins - Find & Share on GIPHY

‘SKINS (6-3)

Right now, the Skins sit on top of the division. Their defense is legit, their offense is meh. Adrian Peterson‘s still churning out chunks and Alex Smith can still make plays. If we’re going strictly by my whiskey-soaked oak barrel of a gut, I’m not getting a playoff vibe from them down the stretch. Ya got Josh Norman shitting all over the fans for booing. Feels like a team about to unravel.

The schedule is definitely in DC’s favor. It’s the easiest in the division, second softest in the conference, and 6th easiest in the league. Again, who are the math wizards determining SoS? 4 tough division games + two AFC South teams in the hunt doesn’t seem that simple:

  • Texans (6‑3)  Sun Nov 18, 1:00 pm – L
  • @ Cowboys (4‑5) Thu Nov 22, 4:30 pm – L
  • @ Eagles (4‑5) Mon Dec 3, 8:15 pm – L
  • Giants (2‑7) Sun Dec 9, 1:00 pm – L
  • @ Jaguars (3‑6) Sun Dec 16, 1:00 pm – W (Jags are tough at home, could be an L)
  • @ Titans (5‑4) Sat Dec 22, 4:30 pm – L
  • Eagles (4‑5) Sun Dec 30, 1:00 pm – W

Conference wins: Currently 6, projected to have 7.

Division wins: Currently 2, projected to have 3.

PREDICTION: ‘Skins spiral and go 8-8 or 7-9. 

If both Giants and ‘Skins:

  1. have the same record, tied for first place
  2. each have 1 win against one another
  3. both go 3-3 in the division

Common Games:

  • Saints – both lost (0-0)
  • Panthers – ‘Skins won, Giants lost (0-1)
  • Falcons – both lost (0-1)
  • Colts – ‘Skins lost, Giants would need to win (1-1)
  • Texans – Giants won, ‘Skins need to lose (2-1)
  • Jaguars – Giants lost, ‘Skins need to lose (2-1)
  • Titans – Giants need to win, ‘Skins need to lose (3-1)

If common games are even, Giants have 6 conference wins, so the ‘Skins can’t win 1 more NFC game (which are all division games).

Super Bowl Fan GIF by Always Sunny in Philadelphia - Find & Share on GIPHY

EAGLES (4-5)

The Eagles are literally hurting. They’ve got guys going down left and right. The locker room is a triage unit. That home loss to the Cowboys on Sunday night has everyone sounding the alarms. But I really hope Golden Tate gets to learn alllllll about Philadelphia. *fart noise*

Philly’s got the toughest schedule in the division, toughest in the conference, and toughest in the league. Hangovers suck, huh. Not exactly a John Mayer hangover (yet) but…

  • @ Saints (8‑1) Sun Nov 18, 1:00 pm – L
  • Giants (2‑7) Sun Nov 25, 1:00 pm – L
  • Redskins (6‑3) Mon Dec 3, 8:15 pm – W
  • @ Cowboys (4‑5) Sun Dec 9, 4:25 pm – L
  • @ Rams (9‑1) Sun Dec 16, 8:20 pm – L
  • Texans (6‑3) Sun Dec 23, 1:00 pm – L
  • @ Redskins (6‑3) Sun Dec 30, 1:00 pm – L

Conference wins: Currently 2, projected for 3

Division wins: Currently 1, projected for 2

PREDICTION: Eagles crater hard, going 5-11.

If both Giants and Eagles:

  • have the same record, tied for first place
  • each have 1 win against one another
  • both go 3-3 in the division

Common Games:

  • Panthers – both lost (0-0)
  • Falcons – Eagles won, Giants lost (0-1)
  • Jaguars – Eagles won, Giants lost (0-2)
  • Colts – Eagles won, Giants need to win (0-2)
  • Texans – Giants won, Eagles need to lose (1-2)
  • Titans – Eagles lost, Giants need to win (2-2)
  • Saints – Giants lost, Eagles need to lose (2-2)

If common games are even and Giants have 6 conference wins, the Eagles can only win 3 more in-conference, which will happen when they lose to Giants, Rams, and Saints.

Devastated Dallas Cowboys GIF by NFL - Find & Share on GIPHY

COWBOYS (4-5)

The Cowboys are poised to make a run. Zeke Elliott is feasting. Amari Cooper has injected the slightest slice of life into the passing attack. The defense is intense. They’ve got an average strength of schedule coming down the wire.

  • @ Falcons (4‑5) Sun Nov 18, 1:00 pm – L
  • Redskins (6‑3) Thu Nov 22, 4:30 pm – W
  • Saints (8‑1) Thu Nov 29, 8:20 pm – L
  • Eagles (4‑5) Sun Dec 9, 4:25 pm – W
  • @ Colts (4‑5) Sun Dec 16, 1:00 pm – L
  • Buccaneers (3‑6) Sun Dec 23, 1:00 pm – W
  • @ Giants (2‑7) Sun Dec 30, 1:00 pm – L

Conference wins: Currently 3, projected for 6.

Division wins: Currently 2, projected for 4.

PREDICTION: Cowboys compete but Dak lets ’em down to go 8-8 or 7-9.

If both Giants and Cowboys:

  • have the same record, tied for first place
  • each have 1 win against one another
  • both go 3-3 in the division

Common Games:

  • Panthers – both lost (0-0)
  • Texans – Giants won, Cowboys lost (1-0)
  • Jaguars – Cowboys won, Giants lost (1-1)
  • Titans – Cowboys lost, Giants need to win (2-1)
  • Falcons – Giants lost, Cowboys need to lose (2-1)
  • Saints – Giants lost, Cowboys needs to lose (2-1)
  • Bucs – Giants need to win, Cowboys need to lose (3-1)
  • or
  • Colts – Giants need to win, Cowboys need to lose (3-1)

If common games are even and Giants have 6 conference wins, the Cowboys can only win 2 more in-conference games, hopefully losing to the Falcons, Saints, Giants, and the Eagles.

Strength of victory – Giants win

Strength of schedule – Giants win

NFC PLAYOFFS IF GIANTS WIN DIVISION

  1. Saints – bye
  2. Rams – bye
  3. Vikings vs. Packers
  4. Giants vs. Bears
  5. Bears at Giants
  6. Packers at Vikings

The Bears continue to struggle at MetLife, losing to the Giants.

Vikes take care of the Packers.

Giants get smoked by the Saints in Nawlins.

Vikings lose in a barnburner to the Rams.

Saints take down the Rams in one of the greatest NFC Championships of all-time.

Let’s go outside the division to the rest of the conference if the Giants do not win the division.

NFC Playoff Probabilities

NFC Playoff Probabilities

Assuming the Rams lock up the NFC West and the #2 seed and the Saints nail down the NFC South plus the #1 seed, here’s what the Giants would need if they don’t win the NFC East…

  1. Saints
  2. Rams
  3. NFC North Winner (Vikings)
  4. NFC East Winner (Redskins)
  5. Wild Card 1 (Bears)
  6. Giants (9-7)

Da Bears GIF by Chicago Bears - Find & Share on GIPHY

BEARS (6-3)

Chicago kept up with the Pats but also lost to the Dolphins. It’s all conference games from here on out but only 3 at home. Right now, they’re on a roll and I don’t see that stopping as long as Khalil Mack has a heartbeat. They also have an easier schedule than the Giants.

  • Vikings (5‑3‑1) Sun Nov 18, 1:00 pm – W
  • @ Lions (3‑6) Thu Nov 22, 12:30 pm – W
  • @ Giants (2‑7) Sun Dec 2, 1:00 pm – L
  • Rams (9‑1) Sun Dec 9, 1:00 pm – L
  • Packers (4‑4‑1) Sun Dec 16, 1:00 pm – W
  • @ Forty-Niners (2‑8) Sun Dec 23, 4:05 pm – W
  • @ Vikings (5‑3‑1) Sun Dec 30, 1:00 pm – L

PREDICTION: Da Bears are probably going 10-6 and should get the #5 seed.

  • Giants need to beat the Bears
  • Bears only win 1 more conference game (49ers?) – not gonna happen
  • Can’t do common games because not enough (need 4).

Keep Pounding Carolina Panthers GIF by NFL - Find & Share on GIPHY

PANTHERS (6-3)

The Panthers most recently got smoked by the Steelers and aren’t that rad on the road (1-3). If that trend continues, they could end up 8-8. For the Giants’ sake, since they lost to the Panthers, Carolina needs to go 8-8. Stranger Things has happened for two seasons and is coming back for a third.

Cam’s Cats have the 5th hardest schedule in the conference and the second hardest in the division.

  • @ Lions (3‑6) Sun Nov 18, 1:00 pm – L
  • Seahawks (4‑5) Sun Nov 25, 1:00 pm – W
  • @ Buccaneers (3‑6) Sun Dec 2, 1:00 pm – L
  • @ Browns (3‑6‑1) Sun Dec 9, 1:00 pm – L
  • Saints (8‑1) Mon Dec 17, 8:15 pm – L
  • Falcons (4‑5) Sun Dec 23, 1:00 pm – W
  • @ Saints (8‑1) Sun Dec 30, 1:00 pm – L

PREDICTION: Carolina collapses thanks to their road woes.

Let'S Go Football GIF by Minnesota Vikings - Find & Share on GIPHY

VIKINGS (5-3-1)

The Vikings are picking up steam but somehow lost to the then-winless Bills at home, so anything goes.

  • @ Bears (6‑3) Sun Nov 18, 1:00 pm – L
  • Packers (4‑4‑1) Sun Nov 25, 8:20 pm – W
  • @ Patriots (7‑3) Sun Dec 2, 4:25 pm – L
  • @ Seahawks (4‑5) Mon Dec 10, 8:15 pm – W
  • Dolphins (5‑5) Sun Dec 16, 1:00 pm – W
  • @ Lions (3‑6) Sun Dec 23, 1:00 pm – W
  • Bears (6‑3) Sun Dec 30, 1:00 pm – W

PREDICTION: Vikings go 10-5-1 and win the NFC North (#3 seed).

Green Bay Packers Deal With It GIF by NFL - Find & Share on GIPHY

PACKERS (4-4-1)

Despite having the easiest schedule in the league, Green Bay still gets tripped up by those pesky Seahawks and road losses within the division. Aaron Rodgers tries to secede.

  • @ Seahawks (4‑5) Thu Nov 15, 8:20 pm – L
  • @ Vikings (5‑3‑1) Sun Nov 25, 8:20 pm – L
  • Cardinals (2‑7) Sun Dec 2, 1:00 pm – W
  • Falcons (4‑5) Sun Dec 9, 1:00 pm – W
  • @ Bears (6‑3) Sun Dec 16, 1:00 pm – L
  • @ Jets (3‑7) Sun Dec 23, 1:00 pm – W
  • Lions (3‑6) Sun Dec 30, 1:00 pm – W

If the Giants go 9-7, the Pack will have to go 8-7-1. That means losses to the Seahawks, Vikings, and Bears with a possible letdown to the Lions.

Football Thumbs Down GIF by Atlanta Falcons - Find & Share on GIPHY

FALCONS (4-5)

The Falcons are way too unpredictable, dismantling the ‘Skins on Washington’s turf then losing to the Browns at the Dawg Pound.

  • Cowboys (4‑5) Sun Nov 18, 1:00 pm – W
  • @ Saints (8‑1) Thu Nov 22, 8:20 pm – L
  • Ravens (4‑5) Sun Dec 2, 1:00 pm – W
  • @ Packers (4‑4‑1) Sun Dec 9, 1:00 pm – L
  • Cardinals (2‑7) Sun Dec 16, 1:00 pm – W
  • @ Panthers (6‑3) Sun Dec 23, 1:00 pm – L
  • @ Buccaneers (3‑6) – W

If the Giants go 9-7, the Falcons will have to go 8-8. Losses to the Saints, Packers, and Panthers would be phenomenal. A loss to the Ravens would be sweet as well.

Seattle Seahawks GIF by NFL - Find & Share on GIPHY

SEAHAWKS (4-5)

Seattle might pull off some sort of sorcery and go on a run. There are 3 gimme wins while three of the other four games are at home.

  • Packers (4‑4‑1) Thu Nov 15, 8:20 pm – W
  • @ Panthers (6‑3) Sun Nov 25, 1:00 pm – L
  • Forty-Niners (2‑8) Sun Dec 2, 8:20 pm – W
  • Vikings (5‑3‑1) Mon Dec 10, 8:15 pm – L
  • @ Forty-Niners (2‑8) Sun Dec 16, 4:05 pm – W
  • Chiefs (9‑1) Sun Dec 23, 8:20 pm – L
  • Cardinals (2‑7) Sun Dec 30, 4:25 pm – W

If the Giants go 9-7, the Seahawks need to go 8-8. Losses to the Panthers, Vikings, and Chiefs are very possible.

NFC PLAYOFFS

  1. Saints
  2. Rams
  3. Vikings vs. Giants
  4. Redskins vs. Bears
  5. Bears at Redskins
  6. Giants at Vikings

Giants get manhandled in Minnesota.

Bears dismantle the ‘Skins.

Vikings travel to La La Land and are a handful for the Rams but fall short.

The Bears bring it in the Big Easy but the Saints find a way to prevail.

Saints over Rams to send Drew Brees to his second Super Bowl and into retirement.

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